\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

1 2 3 4 6

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

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\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n
\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

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\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Across the pond, the Bank of England is holding steady, with most economists eyeing August for a potential first move. This patience comes despite headline inflation tumbling close to the 2% target, as services inflation and wage growth remain elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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In the U.S., the Fed's latest projections show a dramatic scaling back of rate cut expectations. Where three cuts were once on the table for 2024, now only a single quarter-point reduction is anticipated. Powell, speaking at a recent press conference, emphasized the significance of getting the timing right. \"When we do start to loosen policy, that will show up in significant loosening in financial market conditions,\" <\/em>he stated. \"You want to get it right.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Across the pond, the Bank of England is holding steady, with most economists eyeing August for a potential first move. This patience comes despite headline inflation tumbling close to the 2% target, as services inflation and wage growth remain elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Canada Forces CryptoCom To Delist USDT; Saying It Constitutes 'Securities And Or Derivatives'<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the U.S., the Fed's latest projections show a dramatic scaling back of rate cut expectations. Where three cuts were once on the table for 2024, now only a single quarter-point reduction is anticipated. Powell, speaking at a recent press conference, emphasized the significance of getting the timing right. \"When we do start to loosen policy, that will show up in significant loosening in financial market conditions,\" <\/em>he stated. \"You want to get it right.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Across the pond, the Bank of England is holding steady, with most economists eyeing August for a potential first move. This patience comes despite headline inflation tumbling close to the 2% target, as services inflation and wage growth remain elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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While some modest steps have been taken\u2014the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have dipped their toes in with initial cuts this month\u2014these moves seem more like fulfilling old promises than charting a bold new course. The mood in central banking circles has cooled considerably as policymakers grapple with inflation that's proving more persistent than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Canada Forces CryptoCom To Delist USDT; Saying It Constitutes 'Securities And Or Derivatives'<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the U.S., the Fed's latest projections show a dramatic scaling back of rate cut expectations. Where three cuts were once on the table for 2024, now only a single quarter-point reduction is anticipated. Powell, speaking at a recent press conference, emphasized the significance of getting the timing right. \"When we do start to loosen policy, that will show up in significant loosening in financial market conditions,\" <\/em>he stated. \"You want to get it right.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Across the pond, the Bank of England is holding steady, with most economists eyeing August for a potential first move. This patience comes despite headline inflation tumbling close to the 2% target, as services inflation and wage growth remain elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

Steps By The European Central Bank And Bank of Canada<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

While some modest steps have been taken\u2014the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have dipped their toes in with initial cuts this month\u2014these moves seem more like fulfilling old promises than charting a bold new course. The mood in central banking circles has cooled considerably as policymakers grapple with inflation that's proving more persistent than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Canada Forces CryptoCom To Delist USDT; Saying It Constitutes 'Securities And Or Derivatives'<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the U.S., the Fed's latest projections show a dramatic scaling back of rate cut expectations. Where three cuts were once on the table for 2024, now only a single quarter-point reduction is anticipated. Powell, speaking at a recent press conference, emphasized the significance of getting the timing right. \"When we do start to loosen policy, that will show up in significant loosening in financial market conditions,\" <\/em>he stated. \"You want to get it right.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Across the pond, the Bank of England is holding steady, with most economists eyeing August for a potential first move. This patience comes despite headline inflation tumbling close to the 2% target, as services inflation and wage growth remain elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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\n

The story began with high hopes. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted last December that rate cuts were \"a topic of discussion,\" setting the stage for what many believed would be a synchronized global move towards cheaper credit. Fast forward to today, and that eagerly awaited shift has largely fizzled out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Steps By The European Central Bank And Bank of Canada<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

While some modest steps have been taken\u2014the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have dipped their toes in with initial cuts this month\u2014these moves seem more like fulfilling old promises than charting a bold new course. The mood in central banking circles has cooled considerably as policymakers grapple with inflation that's proving more persistent than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Canada Forces CryptoCom To Delist USDT; Saying It Constitutes 'Securities And Or Derivatives'<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the U.S., the Fed's latest projections show a dramatic scaling back of rate cut expectations. Where three cuts were once on the table for 2024, now only a single quarter-point reduction is anticipated. Powell, speaking at a recent press conference, emphasized the significance of getting the timing right. \"When we do start to loosen policy, that will show up in significant loosening in financial market conditions,\" <\/em>he stated. \"You want to get it right.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Across the pond, the Bank of England is holding steady, with most economists eyeing August for a potential first move. This patience comes despite headline inflation tumbling close to the 2% target, as services inflation and wage growth remain elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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As reported by Reuters<\/a>, this shift in sentiment marks a stark departure from the \"start your engines\" mentality that prevailed just six months ago. Now, central bankers from Washington to Frankfurt are adopting a more cautious \"hold your horses\" approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The story began with high hopes. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted last December that rate cuts were \"a topic of discussion,\" setting the stage for what many believed would be a synchronized global move towards cheaper credit. Fast forward to today, and that eagerly awaited shift has largely fizzled out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Steps By The European Central Bank And Bank of Canada<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

While some modest steps have been taken\u2014the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have dipped their toes in with initial cuts this month\u2014these moves seem more like fulfilling old promises than charting a bold new course. The mood in central banking circles has cooled considerably as policymakers grapple with inflation that's proving more persistent than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Canada Forces CryptoCom To Delist USDT; Saying It Constitutes 'Securities And Or Derivatives'<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the U.S., the Fed's latest projections show a dramatic scaling back of rate cut expectations. Where three cuts were once on the table for 2024, now only a single quarter-point reduction is anticipated. Powell, speaking at a recent press conference, emphasized the significance of getting the timing right. \"When we do start to loosen policy, that will show up in significant loosening in financial market conditions,\" <\/em>he stated. \"You want to get it right.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Across the pond, the Bank of England is holding steady, with most economists eyeing August for a potential first move. This patience comes despite headline inflation tumbling close to the 2% target, as services inflation and wage growth remain elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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In a twist that's caught many off guard, the world's major central banks are tapping the brakes on what was widely anticipated to be a year of significant monetary easing. The optimism that permeated financial markets at the close of 2023, with visions of lower borrowing costs dancing in investors' heads, has largely evaporated in the face of stubborn inflation and resilient economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As reported by Reuters<\/a>, this shift in sentiment marks a stark departure from the \"start your engines\" mentality that prevailed just six months ago. Now, central bankers from Washington to Frankfurt are adopting a more cautious \"hold your horses\" approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The story began with high hopes. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell hinted last December that rate cuts were \"a topic of discussion,\" setting the stage for what many believed would be a synchronized global move towards cheaper credit. Fast forward to today, and that eagerly awaited shift has largely fizzled out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Steps By The European Central Bank And Bank of Canada<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

While some modest steps have been taken\u2014the European Central Bank and Bank of Canada have dipped their toes in with initial cuts this month\u2014these moves seem more like fulfilling old promises than charting a bold new course. The mood in central banking circles has cooled considerably as policymakers grapple with inflation that's proving more persistent than expected.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Canada Forces CryptoCom To Delist USDT; Saying It Constitutes 'Securities And Or Derivatives'<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

In the U.S., the Fed's latest projections show a dramatic scaling back of rate cut expectations. Where three cuts were once on the table for 2024, now only a single quarter-point reduction is anticipated. Powell, speaking at a recent press conference, emphasized the significance of getting the timing right. \"When we do start to loosen policy, that will show up in significant loosening in financial market conditions,\" <\/em>he stated. \"You want to get it right.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Across the pond, the Bank of England is holding steady, with most economists eyeing August for a potential first move. This patience comes despite headline inflation tumbling close to the 2% target, as services inflation and wage growth remain elevated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Data And Political Uncertainty.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, the European Central Bank, true to its earlier warnings of \"bumps in the road,\" is navigating not just economic data but political uncertainty. The prospect of a snap election in France has added another layer of complexity to their decision-making.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking ahead, central banks face a delicate balancing act. On one hand, they're wary of declaring premature victory over inflation. On the other, concerns are growing that prolonged restrictive policy could push unemployment higher and strain an already fragile recovery.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Nick Bunker of the Indeed Hiring Lab cautioned, \"The labor market has seemed invincible for much of the past two years, but its armor can't last forever.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

While the immediate future may not bring the interest rate relief many had hoped for, the longer-term outlook remains focused on a gradual return to more accommodative monetary policy. Central banks are playing a careful game of chess with inflation, making measured moves to avoid any missteps that could derail progress.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key for investors and borrowers alike will be patience and adaptability. As this year has already shown, the path to lower rates is rarely a straight line. Those who can navigate the twists and turns stand to benefit most when the tide eventually turns.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation's Persistence Keeps Central Banks In Wait-And-See Mode","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflations-persistence-keeps-central-banks-in-wait-and-see-mode","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-21 19:01:29","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-21 09:01:29","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17407","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":17323,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-06-19 23:12:43","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:43","post_content":"\n

In a move that risks undermining the dollar's global dominance, the United States is chipping away at the pillars that have long supported the currency's reserve status, according to a Reuters report. The latest blows come from powerful Americans questioning the rule of law following the conviction of former President Donald Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The attacks on the legal system in the aftermath of Trump's conviction, combined with the country's increasing use of sanctions as a punitive foreign policy tool and its mounting debt burden, have effectively dared the rest of the world to find an alternative to the dollar. However, despite growing consternation at home and abroad over the consequences of U.S. hubris, no credible alternative has emerged, and the world seems to have partly itself to blame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In Asia, for instance, people are urgently seeking ways to reduce their U.S. exposure and boost non-dollar trade flows but attempts to build such systems have been slow-going or haven't gained traction. Rising authoritarianism, threats to individual and property rights, and geopolitical tensions have made other options less attractive than U.S. assets, even if their appeal has diminished.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Survey Shows Rising Interest In Crypto Ahead Of 2024 Election, Says Grayscale<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank Reserve Managers' Plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A recent survey<\/a> shows that central bank reserve managers plan to increase their dollar holdings over the next 12-24 months due to the rise in global geopolitical tensions and the need for liquidity, drawing them to the currency's safe-haven status.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At its core, the dollar's dominant role in the world draws from the United States' democratic principles, supported by the massive size of its economy, the depth of its markets, the strength of its institutions, and the rule of law. However, the increasing messiness of the U.S. political landscape is testing some of the underpinnings of the dollar's global appeal.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Attacks on the U.S. legal system have increased after Trump's conviction, with Florida Governor Ron DeSantis calling it a \"kangaroo court.\" A major investor based in Asia expressed concerns about potential threats to U.S. institutions, noting that any debasing of the Federal Reserve's authority could affect the dollar's credibility and lead to a double-digit depreciation of the currency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the world watches the legal uncertainties unfold in the United States, the implications for the dollar's global dominance remain uncertain. While no credible alternative has emerged yet, the growing doubts over the strength of U.S. institutions and the rule of law could erode the currency's appeal in the long run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. faces a delicate balancing act between maintaining its economic and financial might while upholding the democratic principles and legal integrity that have underpinned the dollar's reserve status. As the world's financial center grapples with these challenges, the search for alternative currencies or systems may intensify, potentially reshaping the global financial landscape in unexpected ways.<\/p>\n","post_title":"United States Legal Turmoil Raises Concerns Over Dollar's Global Supremacy","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"united-states-legal-turmoil-raises-concerns-over-dollars-global-supremacy","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-06-19 23:12:47","post_modified_gmt":"2024-06-19 13:12:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=17323","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16524,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2024-04-25 22:18:13","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:13","post_content":"\n

Investors are bracing for a reality check on whether higher interest rates will continue boosting European bank profits or if the year-long rally in banking shares could soon run out of steam.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week marks the start of the first quarter earnings season for major European lenders. Britain's Lloyds Banking Group kicks things off on April 24, followed by French giant BNP Paribas, Germany's Deutsche Bank, and Britain's Barclays on April 25, according to Reuters reports.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After years of ultra-low rates, surging borrowing costs have been a game-changer for European banks and their ability to profit from higher lending margins. This tailwind has supercharged bank stocks and investor payouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

As quoted by Reuters in their analysis on the topic, Co-Head of Europe at consulting firm Oliver Wyman points out the fundamental difference is that Europe has moved away from negative interest rates. This shift has profoundly impacted the outlook for banks in the region, an impact that continues to be felt. The move to positive rates represents a game-changing development for European lenders after years of operating in a negative rate environment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the full European banking picture won't emerge until later in April and early May when Spanish giants BBVA and Santander and France's Societe Generale and Swiss bank UBS report results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While recent reports from Nordea and Bankinter signal earnings growth remains solid, Oliver Wyman's Edelman cautioned that falling margins and weak loan demand could spell trouble ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Tether Ordered To Reveal USDTs Exact Backings<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Analyst's Expectations<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Most analysts still expect a strong first quarter as the higher rate environment and controlled bad loans provide tailwinds. Deutsche Bank is forecasting its 15th consecutive quarterly profit, while BNP Paribas' typically strong first quarter could get an added boost from lower rate cut expectations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

However, the economic underperformance of Europe versus the U.S. and likely rate cuts this year by the Bank of England and European Central Bank could start weighing on lenders' performance. Sustained high rates could also exacerbate problems in the struggling commercial real estate sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The coming weeks will prove crucial in determining if soaring bank shares can sustain their impressive run or if darker clouds are forming on the interest rate horizon. A potential shift in the rate cycle could present challenges and opportunities that will test the resilience of the European banking sector.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Higher Rates May Prove Double-Edged Sword for European Bank Earnings","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"higher-rates-may-prove-double-edged-sword-for-european-bank-earnings","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-25 22:18:19","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-25 12:18:19","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16524","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16452,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-19 23:53:19","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:19","post_content":"\n

Federal Reserve<\/a> Chair Jerome Powell said this week that recent inflation data has not given policymakers enough confidence to ease monetary policy soon, noting that the U.S. central bank may need to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously thought.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The latest inflation data showed that U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected in March and with rising costs for gasoline and shelter, the U.S. consumer price index rose 0.4% last month. This marked a 3.5% year-on-year rise while economists surveyed by Reuters had projected a monthly increase of 0.3% and a 3.4% year-on-year gain.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As a result, traders reduced their expectations for rate cuts, now indicating approximately a 17% likelihood that the Federal Reserve will decrease rates in June, compared to around 62% just a week earlier. CME Group's FedWatch tool also reported that traders reduced expectations for a July cut to 41% from approximately 76% last week. Michael Hans, chief investment officer at Citizens Private Wealth, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We're in this volatile sticky point right now where the Fed wants to see more data points to give them confidence they'll achieve their 2% inflation goal. The market is reacting because there were much higher expectations coming into this data that there would be a cut in June or July.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Current
Source: Reuters<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin and Ethereum Price Prediction After Inflation Increased Above Expectations<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Retail Sales Report<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Meanwhile, a report released on Monday showed that retail sales expanded beyond expectations in March, signaling the resilience of the U.S. economy, which contributed to driving benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yields to their highest levels in five months on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

James St. Aubin, chief investment officer at Sierra Mutual Funds in California said that market participants are currently trying to balance this two-sided narrative: U.S. economic growth, which looks good, and at the same time the inflation picture, and interest rates, which will eventually be problematic for the stock market.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Some economic analysts said that the U.S. central bank became too focused on inputs after misreading inflation in 2021 and they warned that the Fed risk a recession if it cut rates later than June. Simultaneously, the increase in geopolitical uncertainties presents an extra hurdle and amplifies the possibility of unexpected risks in both markets and economic outcomes and the recommendation for investors is to take a defensive approach in the weeks ahead.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Central Bank May Need To Keep Interest Rates Higher For Longer. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-central-bank-may-need-to-keep-interest-rates-higher-for-longer-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-19 23:53:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-19 13:53:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16452","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14888,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-01-06 18:33:09","post_date_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:09","post_content":"\n

Wall Street's main indexes fell at the beginning of the 2024 year as investors locked in profits after a very successful 2023 and are currently waiting for the Federal Reserve's<\/a> meeting that could offer hints on its interest rate path. Ken Polcari, managing partner at Kace Capital Advisors, said:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"The decline yesterday, today, and maybe for the next couple of weeks, is a result of people locking in profits and reconsidering what the narrative is - are rates going down five or six times as it appeared to be at the end of last year?\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
The Nasdaq Composite kicked off the year with a 1.5% drop pressured by a selloff in the tech sector<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The Fed's December meeting minutes are set to be disclosed at 2:00 p.m. ET, potentially providing information regarding the central bank's shift toward reducing interest rates. Although it's widely anticipated that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this month, traders have priced in a 65.7% probability of a 25 basis point rate reduction in March, according to CMEGroup's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Wall Street's Main Indexes Surged Significantly After The Release Of Lower Than Anticipated Inflation Figures<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Central Bank And Inflation<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin, a voting member in the FOMC's rate-setting committee, said recently that the U.S. central bank is \"making real progress\" towards taming inflation and a soft landing seeming \"increasingly conceivable\". Encouragingly, the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey indicated a surge in optimism among individual investors regarding the short-term outlook for the U.S. stock market, reaching its peak level in more than two and a half years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite this, JPMorgan Asset Management advises investors to be cautious due to potential recession risks. At the same time, analysts at Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 G\u00e9n\u00e9rale anticipate a turbulent 2024 for U.S. stocks, projecting fluctuations that could involve nearing recent highs, encountering declines, and subsequently rebounding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This week will witness a series of labor market data releases, culminating in the government's December employment report on Friday. These reports could significantly influence the forecast for the Fed's interest rate trajectory this year, prompting investors to scrutinize the data. Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

 \"The job market is cooling and we should see confirmation of that in this Friday\u2019s jobs report\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Following the progress of Wall Street's main indexes seen last year, investors are still optimistic about the prospect of another robust year ahead. This optimism is rooted in the anticipation that a decelerating economy will result in a gentle landing rather than a full-scale recession, especially as the Fed initiates rate cuts in the first half of 2024.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Fell At The Beginning Of 2024 year. Investors Locked In Profits After A Strong 2023 And Wait For The Federal Reserve's Meeting","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-fell-at-the-beginning-of-2024-year-investors-locked-in-profits-after-a-strong-2023-and-wait-for-the-federal-reserves-meeting","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-01-06 18:33:13","post_modified_gmt":"2024-01-06 07:33:13","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14888","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14708,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-12-20 02:23:41","post_date_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:41","post_content":"\n

In a detailed report released on Tuesday, the Swiss financial regulator, FINMA<\/a>, shed light on the near collapse of Credit Suisse in late 2022, advocating for increased regulatory powers to prevent similar crises in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

According to a Reuters report, the regulator, which has faced criticism for its oversight of the bank, defended its actions during the crisis, stating that it took \"far-reaching and invasive\" measures to address deficiencies at Credit Suisse. Despite these efforts, the regulator admitted that its actions were insufficient to overcome fundamental issues in the bank's strategy implementation and risk management.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

FINMA Report <\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The report reveals that from 2018 to 2022, FINMA conducted 108 on-site reviews at Credit Suisse<\/a>, identifying 382 \"points requiring action,\" with 113 deemed high or critical risks. Despite these efforts, the regulator contends that its options and legal powers were exhausted.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

To prevent liquidity crises in the future, FINMA proposes the implementation of appropriate stress-testing processes and a heightened focus on the feasibility of banks' liquidity plans.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Notably, FINMA expressed the need for stronger regulatory powers, including the ability to impose fines and the option to publicize details of enforcement proceedings. The regulator is also considering the adoption of a \"senior managers regime\" to delineate specific responsibilities for senior executives, mirroring a framework already in place in the UK.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report corroborates details previously reported by Reuters regarding Credit Suisse's precarious financial situation in the autumn of 2022. The bank was reportedly on the brink of collapse, considering drawing on 50 billion Swiss francs in emergency liquidity support from the Swiss central bank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crisis prompted discussions of nationalizing Credit Suisse and injecting 50 billion francs into the bank to keep it afloat. However, the bank, eventually taken over by UBS, decided against this move due to feared negative signals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> An Acute Case Of Bank Run; How Depositors Wiped Out US$75B From Credit Suisse<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Credit Suisse Challenges<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

In retrospect, Credit Suisse faced severe liquidity challenges in December 2022, with clients withdrawing 138 billion francs during the fourth quarter. The bank was on the verge of utilizing emergency liquidity support but refrained from doing so.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The report discloses that FINMA had imposed higher liquidity requirements on Credit Suisse in response to funding pressures in 2020 and 2021. However, these measures proved inadequate, with the bank initially resisting some of the regulatory interventions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Only under repeated pressure did Credit Suisse establish a reporting system to monitor the implementation of required measures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Swiss government, Swiss National Bank<\/a> (SNB), and FINMA intervened to support UBS's takeover of Credit Suisse, aiming to protect the bank's creditors and ensure financial stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

With FINMA overseeing Switzerland's globally important bank, UBS, which boasts a balance sheet nearly twice the size of the entire Swiss economy at $1.6 trillion, the call for regulatory reforms becomes even more pressing.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Swiss Watchdog FINMA Advocates For Stronger Powers After Credit Suisse's Near-Imploding Crisis","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"swiss-watchdog-finma-advocates-for-stronger-powers-after-credit-suisses-near-imploding-crisis","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-20 02:23:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-19 15:23:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14708","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14205,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-10 00:50:07","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:07","post_content":"\n

In finance, a subtle yet crucial transformation has been taking place. It is a change that has the potential to impact the very core of the financial system. In Washington, D.C., regulators recently gathered to discuss a significant shift in how they approached risk and oversight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Regulatory Oversight<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The stage was set at the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC), a powerful entity led by the Treasury Department, with a mission to safeguard the financial system from potential threats. They agreed to ramp up their oversight of a group that had, until recently, operated in relative obscurity: non-banks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Non-banks, including asset managers and hedge funds, have gained prominence in the financial world. Concerns were growing about the risks they might pose to the system. But this wasn't a sudden decision; it was a revival of a tough regime that had been somewhat sidelined under the previous administration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The key change in the process was the designation of non-banks as \"systemically important financial institutions\" (SIFIs). This designation would subject them to greater oversight and stricter capital and liquidity requirements, potentially giving the U.S. Federal Reserve more say in their operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The new approach marked a significant departure from the previous one, where regulators focused on policing risky activities instead of individual firms. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen voiced concerns about this outdated perspective, stating that it was \"a flawed view of how financial risks develop and spread.\" <\/em>She emphasized that designating firms as SIFIs was one of several tools available to the panel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the revamped process, FSOC would identify potential SIFIs based on existing information and give the company a chance to respond. The company would then discuss the matter with its primary regulator and the FSOC. Only if two-thirds of FSOC's 10 members voted in favor would a non-bank be designated as a SIFI. These designations would be reviewed annually.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The financial industry's reaction was swift and critical. Experts described the SIFI designation as a blunt tool that focused disproportionately on individual companies, rather than holistically assessing risk. Similarly, the Managed Funds Association, which represents hedge funds, argued that non-banks didn't pose the same risks as banks and criticized the designation process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Way Forward<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

As the financial landscape undergoes these changes, the implications remain uncertain. However, the new approach is aimed at addressing the concerns about non-banks gradually taking on more financial activity, often with less transparency.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although the changes may create uncertainty in the market, the regulatory shift is aimed at maintaining the stability of the financial system. The financial industry may grumble, but this evolution reflects an ongoing effort to adapt to the ever-changing world of finance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, what's next? Only time will tell how this new oversight regime will play out. As financial activity continues to evolve and adapt, regulatory bodies must remain vigilant to ensure the stability and security of the financial system.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In this evolving financial landscape, one thing is certain: the watchful eye of regulators will continue to keep a close look on non-banks, as they play an increasingly significant role in the financial world. While the road ahead may be uncertain, regulators are committed to safeguarding the financial system from potential risks, wherever they may arise.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Regulators Strengthen Financial Controls As Non-Banks To Have Enhanced Oversight","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"regulators-strengthen-financial-controls-as-non-banks-to-have-enhanced-oversight","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-10 00:50:16","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-09 13:50:16","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14205","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14113,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-11-05 22:55:54","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:55:54","post_content":"\n

This Tuesday, the Federal Reserve commenced a two-day gathering to discuss monetary policy. It is widely anticipated that after this meeting, the central bank will keep interest rates unchanged, as indicated by the CME Group's FedWatch tool.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crucial factors in determining the duration of the restrictive monetary policy will be the Federal Reserve's statements on Wednesday and the monthly job report scheduled for Friday. Hugh Johnson, chairman and chief economist of Hugh Johnson Economics, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everyone's waiting for the Federal Reserve's decision and the employment report on Friday. Investors since late July have become worried because the possibility of a hard landing has increased and that's why today there's so much attention on the Fed.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sam Stovall, the chief investment strategist at CFRA Research, noted that while hardly anyone anticipates an interest rate increase in November, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve raising rates in December is increasingly uncertain. The latest economic data showed a solid increase in U.S. labor costs in the third quarter which added concerns that the Fed could keep interest rates higher for longer and even increase rates one more time by the end of 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This situation poses challenges for companies with substantial credit or variable interest rate loans. Increased borrowing expenses will negatively impact corporate earnings and deter businesses from seeking loans to support new ventures, potentially hampering economic growth and job opportunities. It is important to note that U.S. equities are tracking their third straight month of losses, with the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq on course for their biggest October percentage decline since 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The New York Federal Reserve's recession probability indicator indicates that there is a 56% likelihood of a U.S. recession occurring within the next year, although this figure has decreased from the 66% recorded in August. Even if the U.S. ultimately avoids a recession in the upcoming months, the Fed\u2019s aggressive monetary policy strategy from the past year and a half may only now be starting to hurt the economy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

JPMorgan strategist Marko Kolanovic also predicts that the majority of negative consequences stemming from higher interest rates have not materialized yet. He points out a rising pattern in consumer loan delinquencies and corporate bankruptcies, indicating that these trends are likely to continue unless there is a reduction in interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical uncertainties introduces an additional challenge and heightens the potential for unforeseen risks in both markets and economic performance. Considering all of these factors, the perspective is likely to stay cautious as long as interest rates remain significantly restrictive and the looming presence of geopolitical risks persists.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Investors Are Waiting For The Outcome Of The Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy Meeting. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"investors-are-waiting-for-the-outcome-of-the-federal-reserves-monetary-policy-meeting-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-05 22:56:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-05 11:56:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14113","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13812,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-10-13 00:33:00","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:00","post_content":"\n

Shares on Wall Street are advancing after Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic said this Tuesday that the U.S. central bank does not need to raise rates any further. The 10-year Treasury yield fell immediately off from its 16-year peak after his words, which is also positive because rising yields on long-term U.S. Treasury bonds directly influence financing costs for households and businesses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Last week, we had a situation when \"hawkish\" comments from Fed officials kept the 10-year Treasury yield buoyant, and the result was that investors shifted their money away from stocks, leading to a decrease in stock prices. Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic also added that the U.S. economy remains healthy, and because of this, he sees no recession ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Financial markets welcomed this information, and investors now expect that the Fed is shifting away from the prospect of a November interest rate hike. CME's FedWatch tool reported that the chance of interest rates remaining unchanged in November and December meetings stays at around 88% and 74%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, it is important to keep in mind that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell warned several times in the last several weeks that the U.S. central bank is \"prepared\" to increase interest rates further if needed as it seeks to bring inflation down to its 2% target. Because of this, investors' focus will turn to inflation readings, including September producer price and consumer price indexes, for more clues on interest rates path.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, the focus of investors remains on escalating tensions in the Middle East between Israel and the Palestinian Islamist group Hamas after Hamas' surprise strike on Saturday that killed hundreds of Israelis. The Israeli military has since said it called up an unprecedented 300,000 reservists and was imposing a total blockade on the Gaza Strip, raising expectations of a possible ground assault.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The markets' initial reaction to the major geopolitical developments in the Middle East was a bout of risk aversion, and the latest news is that Israeli air strikes attacked Gaza, razing entire districts in the densely populated and impoverished enclave, filling morgues with Palestinians, including women and children, as it took \"revenge\" for a deadly weekend of Hamas attacks that triggered some of the worst blood-letting in 75 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, said that while the Fed's dovish comments are helping stocks and cryptocurrencies, the situation could easily change if, for example, the fighting between Israel and Hamas spread to other countries in the region. John Praveen, managing director & co-chief investment officer at Paleo Leon, added<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Everybody has one eye on the Middle East conflict, and if tensions escalate, equities will sell off in that instance because of increased uncertainty and risk aversion.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Investors should keep in mind that stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value, and cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall, especially if Bitcoin fell again below $25,000 support level.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Atlanta Fed Bank President Raphael Bostic Said The U.S. Central Bank Does Not Need To Raise Rates Any Further. What Does This Mean For The Stock And Cryptocurrency Market?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"atlanta-fed-bank-president-raphael-bostic-said-the-u-s-central-bank-does-not-need-to-raise-rates-any-further-what-does-this-mean-for-the-stock-and-cryptocurrency-market","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-13 00:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-12 13:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13812","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":13731,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-10-08 01:00:05","post_date_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:05","post_content":"\n

In a world where digital payments are becoming the norm, privacy and data protection concerns have never been more critical. The recent push for a digital euro by the European Central Bank (ECB) has brought these concerns to the forefront, prompting consumer lobby group Finance Watch to call for stricter privacy safeguards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The digital euro is part of a global trend among central banks, including the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England, to stay ahead of technological advances in payments. While this move promises greater convenience and efficiency, it also raises important questions about personal privacy. Click here<\/a> to read more about the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finance Watch, a European consumer group that conducts research and advocacy on financial regulation, recently published a policy paper highlighting the need for robust privacy and data protection measures when using a digital euro. Their key concerns revolve around maintaining the anonymity of cash transactions and preventing market concentration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Finance Watch acknowledges the necessity of preventing money laundering and illegal activities, they argue that the proposed EU law leans too far towards security and lacks sufficient protection for user privacy. The proposed law provides higher levels of privacy for offline transactions, like using cash, but falls short in online transactions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The consumer watchdog proposes that the privacy and data protection standards for small, low-value online transactions should match those applied to offline transactions. This approach would ensure that users enjoy cash-like privacy regardless of how they use the digital euro.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The European Commission has put forth a draft law to provide legal backing for the digital euro. However, critics fear that it might not offer the same level of privacy as traditional cash transactions. EU financial services chief Mairead McGuinness has emphasized the importance of a thorough and careful legislative process, urging against rushing the decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Bank of England has taken a different approach by initiating a national debate to address public concerns about a digital pound potentially enabling government surveillance. This approach reflects a growing awareness of balancing technological advancements with privacy rights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we move towards a more digital economy, it's crucial for policymakers to carefully consider and address these concerns to ensure the protection of individual privacy in the digital age. The call from prominent quarters for stronger privacy safeguards serves as a reminder that, in this digital era, our privacy should remain a top priority.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Why \u201cFinance Watch\u201d Consumer Group Urges Stronger Protection For The Digital Euro","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"why-finance-watch-consumer-group-urges-stronger-protection-for-the-digital-euro","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-10-08 01:00:37","post_modified_gmt":"2023-10-07 14:00:37","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=13731","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

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