Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
\"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Morgan Stanley\u2019s credit strategist, Vishwas Patkar, draws parallels to a bygone era. Remember the mid-1990s? After four rate cuts in 1995, the Fed maintained elevated rates for an extended period. Credit markets remained resilient, and spreads hit modern-era lows of 56 basis points, even as rates climbed. Patkar muses that we might revisit those levels \u2013 perhaps as low as 75 basis points \u2013 if a soft landing materializes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
In the first quarter alone, investment-grade companies raised a staggering $538 billion. That\u2019s a whopping 40% of the anticipated $1.3 trillion bond supply for the entire year, according to data from Informa Global Markets. New bond offerings? Oversubscribed three to four times on average. The hunger for yield is palpable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Morgan Stanley\u2019s credit strategist, Vishwas Patkar, draws parallels to a bygone era. Remember the mid-1990s? After four rate cuts in 1995, the Fed maintained elevated rates for an extended period. Credit markets remained resilient, and spreads hit modern-era lows of 56 basis points, even as rates climbed. Patkar muses that we might revisit those levels \u2013 perhaps as low as 75 basis points \u2013 if a soft landing materializes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
In the first quarter alone, investment-grade companies raised a staggering $538 billion. That\u2019s a whopping 40% of the anticipated $1.3 trillion bond supply for the entire year, according to data from Informa Global Markets. New bond offerings? Oversubscribed three to four times on average. The hunger for yield is palpable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Morgan Stanley\u2019s credit strategist, Vishwas Patkar, draws parallels to a bygone era. Remember the mid-1990s? After four rate cuts in 1995, the Fed maintained elevated rates for an extended period. Credit markets remained resilient, and spreads hit modern-era lows of 56 basis points, even as rates climbed. Patkar muses that we might revisit those levels \u2013 perhaps as low as 75 basis points \u2013 if a soft landing materializes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates By 25 Basis Points<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n In the first quarter alone, investment-grade companies raised a staggering $538 billion. That\u2019s a whopping 40% of the anticipated $1.3 trillion bond supply for the entire year, according to data from Informa Global Markets. New bond offerings? Oversubscribed three to four times on average. The hunger for yield is palpable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Morgan Stanley\u2019s credit strategist, Vishwas Patkar, draws parallels to a bygone era. Remember the mid-1990s? After four rate cuts in 1995, the Fed maintained elevated rates for an extended period. Credit markets remained resilient, and spreads hit modern-era lows of 56 basis points, even as rates climbed. Patkar muses that we might revisit those levels \u2013 perhaps as low as 75 basis points \u2013 if a soft landing materializes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Insurance companies and pension plans, those behemoths of the financial world, are swimming in a sea of capital. Clients, eager to capitalize on higher interest rates, are pouring money into their coffers. The result? A frenzied hunt for corporate bonds. But here\u2019s the catch: supply might fall short. The demand is voracious, yet new issuance struggles to keep pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates By 25 Basis Points<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n In the first quarter alone, investment-grade companies raised a staggering $538 billion. That\u2019s a whopping 40% of the anticipated $1.3 trillion bond supply for the entire year, according to data from Informa Global Markets. New bond offerings? Oversubscribed three to four times on average. The hunger for yield is palpable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Morgan Stanley\u2019s credit strategist, Vishwas Patkar, draws parallels to a bygone era. Remember the mid-1990s? After four rate cuts in 1995, the Fed maintained elevated rates for an extended period. Credit markets remained resilient, and spreads hit modern-era lows of 56 basis points, even as rates climbed. Patkar muses that we might revisit those levels \u2013 perhaps as low as 75 basis points \u2013 if a soft landing materializes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
On March 21, the premium paid by companies over Treasuries known as credit spreads reached their tightest levels in two years. Investment-grade rated bonds clocked in at 91 basis points, while their junk-rated counterparts hit 305 basis points. These numbers tell a tale of confidence investors are placing their chips on a well-calibrated Fed strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Insurance companies and pension plans, those behemoths of the financial world, are swimming in a sea of capital. Clients, eager to capitalize on higher interest rates, are pouring money into their coffers. The result? A frenzied hunt for corporate bonds. But here\u2019s the catch: supply might fall short. The demand is voracious, yet new issuance struggles to keep pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates By 25 Basis Points<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n In the first quarter alone, investment-grade companies raised a staggering $538 billion. That\u2019s a whopping 40% of the anticipated $1.3 trillion bond supply for the entire year, according to data from Informa Global Markets. New bond offerings? Oversubscribed three to four times on average. The hunger for yield is palpable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Morgan Stanley\u2019s credit strategist, Vishwas Patkar, draws parallels to a bygone era. Remember the mid-1990s? After four rate cuts in 1995, the Fed maintained elevated rates for an extended period. Credit markets remained resilient, and spreads hit modern-era lows of 56 basis points, even as rates climbed. Patkar muses that we might revisit those levels \u2013 perhaps as low as 75 basis points \u2013 if a soft landing materializes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
Picture this: Credit markets are a bustling marketplace, teeming with eager buyers. Their bet? That the Fed will deftly orchestrate a soft landing, curbing inflation without plunging us into a recession. And once that delicate balance is achieved, the Fed will wield its interest rate-cutting wand to bolster economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n On March 21, the premium paid by companies over Treasuries known as credit spreads reached their tightest levels in two years. Investment-grade rated bonds clocked in at 91 basis points, while their junk-rated counterparts hit 305 basis points. These numbers tell a tale of confidence investors are placing their chips on a well-calibrated Fed strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Insurance companies and pension plans, those behemoths of the financial world, are swimming in a sea of capital. Clients, eager to capitalize on higher interest rates, are pouring money into their coffers. The result? A frenzied hunt for corporate bonds. But here\u2019s the catch: supply might fall short. The demand is voracious, yet new issuance struggles to keep pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates By 25 Basis Points<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n In the first quarter alone, investment-grade companies raised a staggering $538 billion. That\u2019s a whopping 40% of the anticipated $1.3 trillion bond supply for the entire year, according to data from Informa Global Markets. New bond offerings? Oversubscribed three to four times on average. The hunger for yield is palpable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Morgan Stanley\u2019s credit strategist, Vishwas Patkar, draws parallels to a bygone era. Remember the mid-1990s? After four rate cuts in 1995, the Fed maintained elevated rates for an extended period. Credit markets remained resilient, and spreads hit modern-era lows of 56 basis points, even as rates climbed. Patkar muses that we might revisit those levels \u2013 perhaps as low as 75 basis points \u2013 if a soft landing materializes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n \"If the economy is still somewhat strong and now that PMI data is starting to move up, that just suggests there could be some upside pressure in yields.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related: <\/em><\/strong>Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates <\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n David Russell, global head of market strategy at TradeStation, said that investors grew concerned about the possibility of fewer interest rate cuts than expected from the Federal Reserve in the wake of strong economic data and they are worried about another potential strong number this Friday in terms of new jobs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, the upcoming monthly non-farm payrolls data, anticipated for Friday, is expected to reveal a slowdown in job additions for March, albeit with an increase in average earnings compared to the previous month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n According to the CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders are currently pricing approximately 57% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by at least 25 basis points in June, and they expect two more additional cuts in the 2024 year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Besides job data this Friday, traders and investors will also focus on comments from a host of Fed officials including New York Fed President John Williams, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, and San Francisco President Mary Daly, scheduled to speak this week.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Stocks Dipped As Yields Climbed On The Back Of Robust Data. What Should We Anticipate In The Days Ahead?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-stocks-dipped-as-yields-climbed-on-the-back-of-robust-data-what-should-we-anticipate-in-the-days-ahead","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-03 19:44:34","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:34","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16181","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16072,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-03-28 23:33:15","post_date_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:15","post_content":"\n Wall Street's<\/a> main indexes closed in red this Tuesday amid light trading ahead of crucial economic data and a long holiday weekend. For most of the day, investors displayed minimal confidence as they analyzed the unchanged three-rate-cut dot plot from last week and absorbed various data points indicating stable consumer confidence and a cautious uptick in manufacturing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Throughout the rest of the holiday-shortened week, home sales data, UMich's consumer sentiment, mortgage demand, jobless claims, and a last look at fourth-quarter GDP are taking a backseat to the highly anticipated Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report from the Commerce Department, scheduled to be released on Friday, a day when the stock market is closed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n It is important to say that analysts anticipate a slowdown in income growth, dropping to 0.4% from the previous 1.0%, alongside a projected increase of 30 basis points in consumer spending to 0.5%. Regarding the PCE price index, which is considered the Federal Reserve's favored inflation gauge, analysts anticipate a rise in the year-over-year headline number to 2.5%, while the core number is expected to remain steady at January's 2.8% figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Investors Wait For A Crucial Inflation Report That Could Influence On Decision For Interest Rate Cuts From The Federal Reserve<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n Even with inflation numbers above expectations, which might prompt rate cuts in the latter part of the year, Andrew Pease, Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments, said that \"the delayed effects of past rate hikes have not yet been fully realized,\" and expressed worry that the current situation on the stock markets \"might ultimately turn out to be overstated.\"<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chief Investment Strategist at Russell Investments warned that the risks of a sharper economic slowdown persist and he believes that equities have limited upside. Regardless, Wall Street will be closed on Friday when the report is released, market participants will have an extended weekend to think about the actual figures before responding to them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Market participants currently estimate a nearly 75% probability of the Fed implementing the first rate cut in June, as indicated by the CME FedWatch tool, a significant increase from approximately 55% observed at the beginning of last week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n However, in a recent interview, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the necessity for additional evidence indicating a sustainable decline in inflation before considering lowering interest rates, highlighting that the economy's robustness has effectively mitigated recession risks.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Wall Street's Main Indexes Reverse Gains To End Slightly Red. What To Expect In The Upcoming Days?","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"wall-streets-main-indexes-reverse-gains-to-end-slightly-red-what-to-expect-in-the-upcoming-days","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-03-28 23:33:21","post_modified_gmt":"2024-03-28 12:33:21","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16072","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};
The U.S. corporate bond market is ablaze with activity, fueled by an insatiable appetite for credit. Investors are racing to secure returns before the Federal Reserve <\/a>wields its interest rate-cutting scalpel. The result? A second-quarter rally that may catapult bond levels to heights not witnessed in three decades.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Picture this: Credit markets are a bustling marketplace, teeming with eager buyers. Their bet? That the Fed will deftly orchestrate a soft landing, curbing inflation without plunging us into a recession. And once that delicate balance is achieved, the Fed will wield its interest rate-cutting wand to bolster economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n On March 21, the premium paid by companies over Treasuries known as credit spreads reached their tightest levels in two years. Investment-grade rated bonds clocked in at 91 basis points, while their junk-rated counterparts hit 305 basis points. These numbers tell a tale of confidence investors are placing their chips on a well-calibrated Fed strategy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Insurance companies and pension plans, those behemoths of the financial world, are swimming in a sea of capital. Clients, eager to capitalize on higher interest rates, are pouring money into their coffers. The result? A frenzied hunt for corporate bonds. But here\u2019s the catch: supply might fall short. The demand is voracious, yet new issuance struggles to keep pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin And Ethereum Price Prediction After Fed Hiked Interest Rates By 25 Basis Points<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n In the first quarter alone, investment-grade companies raised a staggering $538 billion. That\u2019s a whopping 40% of the anticipated $1.3 trillion bond supply for the entire year, according to data from Informa Global Markets. New bond offerings? Oversubscribed three to four times on average. The hunger for yield is palpable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Morgan Stanley\u2019s credit strategist, Vishwas Patkar, draws parallels to a bygone era. Remember the mid-1990s? After four rate cuts in 1995, the Fed maintained elevated rates for an extended period. Credit markets remained resilient, and spreads hit modern-era lows of 56 basis points, even as rates climbed. Patkar muses that we might revisit those levels \u2013 perhaps as low as 75 basis points \u2013 if a soft landing materializes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n As we navigate this credit frenzy, keep an eye on the spread. Bank of America strategists predict a tightening to around 80 basis points in the coming month \u2013 inching closer to the 77 basis point level touched in 2021. Their six-month spread target? A range of 100-120 basis points. The conclusion? The relentless demand for U.S. credit is steering this rally, and the road ahead promises both excitement and scrutiny.<\/p>\n","post_title":"U.S. Credit Demand Fuels Second-Quarter Surge","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"u-s-credit-demand-fuels-second-quarter-surge","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-04-06 03:41:17","post_modified_gmt":"2024-04-05 16:41:17","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=16167","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":16181,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2024-04-03 19:44:30","post_date_gmt":"2024-04-03 08:44:30","post_content":"\n U.S. stocks are trading lower at the beginning of this trading week, weighed down by concerns among investors regarding the timing of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, exacerbated by unexpectedly robust manufacturing data that drove Treasury yields upwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) reported that its manufacturing PMI rose to 50.3 last month, marking the highest reading and the first to surpass 50 since September 2022, up from 47.8 in February. This indicates a potential recovery in the manufacturing sector, which has faced challenges due to increased interest rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Following the release of the manufacturing data, benchmark 10-year and two-year Treasury yields surged to their highest levels in two weeks and it is important to say that the majority of S&P 500 sectors are trading lower, with the real estate, healthcare, and utilities among the worst performers. Keith Lerner, chief market strategist at Truist Wealth in Atlanta, said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\nInflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Investment Grade Companies <\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Investment Grade Companies <\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Investment Grade Companies <\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Investment Grade Companies <\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Investment Grade Companies <\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Federal Reserve And Interest Rate<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Inflation Numbers And Rate Cuts<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Investment Grade Companies <\/h2>\n\n\n\n