\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n
\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Tightening Consumer Protection Rules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> South Korean Watchdog Goes After Crypto Whales To Enforce AML Compliance<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tightening Consumer Protection Rules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

South Korea will also require VASPs to monitor abnormal transactions on the platforms. Exchanges must report such transactions to the investigative and financial authorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> South Korean Watchdog Goes After Crypto Whales To Enforce AML Compliance<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tightening Consumer Protection Rules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Other provisions include prohibiting digital firms from arbitrarily blocking customer deposits and withdrawals. Even in justifiable cases of blocking, VASPs must inform users in advance of the reasons for taking such an action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

South Korea will also require VASPs to monitor abnormal transactions on the platforms. Exchanges must report such transactions to the investigative and financial authorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> South Korean Watchdog Goes After Crypto Whales To Enforce AML Compliance<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tightening Consumer Protection Rules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

Under the proposals, exchanges must keep 80% or more of the clients\u2019 deposits in cold wallets. Besides, VASPs must obtain liability insurance or keep reserves compensating at least 5% of customers\u2019 digital assets stored in hot wallets.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other provisions include prohibiting digital firms from arbitrarily blocking customer deposits and withdrawals. Even in justifiable cases of blocking, VASPs must inform users in advance of the reasons for taking such an action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

South Korea will also require VASPs to monitor abnormal transactions on the platforms. Exchanges must report such transactions to the investigative and financial authorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> South Korean Watchdog Goes After Crypto Whales To Enforce AML Compliance<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tightening Consumer Protection Rules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n

South Korea has published crypto rules requiring virtual asset services providers (VASPs) to pay customer fees for using their deposits. The draft rules<\/a>, issued on Monday by the Financial Services Commission (FSC), do not apply to central bank digital currencies<\/a> (CBDCs) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Under the proposals, exchanges must keep 80% or more of the clients\u2019 deposits in cold wallets. Besides, VASPs must obtain liability insurance or keep reserves compensating at least 5% of customers\u2019 digital assets stored in hot wallets.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Other provisions include prohibiting digital firms from arbitrarily blocking customer deposits and withdrawals. Even in justifiable cases of blocking, VASPs must inform users in advance of the reasons for taking such an action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

South Korea will also require VASPs to monitor abnormal transactions on the platforms. Exchanges must report such transactions to the investigative and financial authorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> South Korean Watchdog Goes After Crypto Whales To Enforce AML Compliance<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tightening Consumer Protection Rules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

Most Read

Subscribe To Our Newsletter

By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

Follow The Distributed

ADVERTISEMENT
\n
  • The country has been ramping up regulation to protect consumers and increase transparency.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    South Korea has published crypto rules requiring virtual asset services providers (VASPs) to pay customer fees for using their deposits. The draft rules<\/a>, issued on Monday by the Financial Services Commission (FSC), do not apply to central bank digital currencies<\/a> (CBDCs) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Under the proposals, exchanges must keep 80% or more of the clients\u2019 deposits in cold wallets. Besides, VASPs must obtain liability insurance or keep reserves compensating at least 5% of customers\u2019 digital assets stored in hot wallets.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Other provisions include prohibiting digital firms from arbitrarily blocking customer deposits and withdrawals. Even in justifiable cases of blocking, VASPs must inform users in advance of the reasons for taking such an action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    South Korea will also require VASPs to monitor abnormal transactions on the platforms. Exchanges must report such transactions to the investigative and financial authorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    See Related:<\/em><\/strong> South Korean Watchdog Goes After Crypto Whales To Enforce AML Compliance<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Tightening Consumer Protection Rules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

    In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

    European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
    Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

    As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

    Most Read

    Subscribe To Our Newsletter

    By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

    Follow The Distributed

    ADVERTISEMENT
    \n
  • South Korea\u2019s new digital asset rules will require exchanges to pay interest on crypto deposits.<\/li>\n\n\n\n
  • The country has been ramping up regulation to protect consumers and increase transparency.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n

    South Korea has published crypto rules requiring virtual asset services providers (VASPs) to pay customer fees for using their deposits. The draft rules<\/a>, issued on Monday by the Financial Services Commission (FSC), do not apply to central bank digital currencies<\/a> (CBDCs) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Under the proposals, exchanges must keep 80% or more of the clients\u2019 deposits in cold wallets. Besides, VASPs must obtain liability insurance or keep reserves compensating at least 5% of customers\u2019 digital assets stored in hot wallets.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Other provisions include prohibiting digital firms from arbitrarily blocking customer deposits and withdrawals. Even in justifiable cases of blocking, VASPs must inform users in advance of the reasons for taking such an action. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    South Korea will also require VASPs to monitor abnormal transactions on the platforms. Exchanges must report such transactions to the investigative and financial authorities.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    See Related:<\/em><\/strong> South Korean Watchdog Goes After Crypto Whales To Enforce AML Compliance<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Tightening Consumer Protection Rules<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    The FSC says the proposed rules aim to \" protect virtual asset users and establish a sound order in virtual asset transactions.\u201d <\/em>The rules come when South Korean regulators ramp up<\/a> control and regulation of digital services.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    In July this year, authorities issued another draft rule that mandates crypto companies to disclose their digital asset holdings. Authorities said the measures aim to increase transparency, in line with its Virtual Asset Protection Act.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The public now has until January 2024 to give their views about the new proposals for VASPs. The draft legislation comes into effect on July 19, 2024. <\/p>\n","post_title":"South Korea Mandates Exchanges To Pay Crypto Interest On Customer Deposits In New Law","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"south-korea-mandates-exchanges-to-pay-crypto-interest-on-customer-deposits-in-new-law","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-12-13 21:22:59","post_modified_gmt":"2023-12-13 10:22:59","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14594","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":14483,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-11-24 02:08:56","post_date_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:08:56","post_content":"\n

    In a dramatic turn of events, Germany's financial sector is under the looming shadow of uncertainty, with the Bundesbank sounding the alarm. While the nation's financial institutions currently stand on solid ground, dark clouds are gathering on the horizon, warned the Vice President of Bundesbank in a recent report shared by Reuters.<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The crux of the issue lies in a combination of factors, from the unprecedented rise in interest rates to sluggish loan demand and looming unrealized losses. Despite being well-capitalized, German financial firms are not immune to the challenges that lie ahead.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    A Perfect Storm: Rising Interest Rates And Unrealised Losses<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Interest rates have surged at an unparalleled pace in the past year, and while banks have weathered the storm, the aftermath presents a new set of risks. Almost two-thirds of savings banks and credit cooperatives now have unrealized losses throughout their banking book. This includes loans and securities, creating a precarious situation for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The value of securities held by lenders is at risk of a sharp decline, with book values often exceeding current market values. The consequence? Selling securities could lead to significant losses, triggering liquidity shortfalls during times of stress, as highlighted in a recent financial stability report from the Bundesbank.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Crypto Adoption Rates Rising In Germany: Report<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Prediction About Interest Rates<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    The Vice President predicts that interest rate expenditure is set to rise in the future, compressing margins and putting pressure on earnings. Simulations conducted by the Bundesbank indicate that if banks had passed on higher interest rates at a similar pace as in the past, their net interest income this year would be a staggering 29 billion euros lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Banks face an uphill battle in offsetting higher costs through increased loan volumes, especially with weak corporate demand amid a recessionary environment. Furthermore, the commercial real estate market, a key player in Germany's economy, appears vulnerable, exacerbating credit risks for financial institutions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Challenges And The Hope<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

    Despite the challenges, there is a silver lining. Currently, bank earnings remain healthy, providing a buffer that allows lenders to accumulate capital to navigate potential difficulties.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    As Germany's financial sector<\/a> braces for the challenges ahead, the question looms\u2014what does the future hold? Analysts are divided on the path forward. Some foresee a period of turbulence, with financial institutions grappling with compressed margins and looming risks. Others remain optimistic, citing the current healthy earnings as a cushion against potential downturns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The commercial real estate market will likely be a focal point in the coming months, as its vulnerabilities could amplify the credit risks facing the financial sector. Policymakers and financial institutions alike will need to adopt a strategic approach to navigate these uncharted waters.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Storm Clouds Gather Over Germany's Financial Horizon","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"storm-clouds-gather-over-germanys-financial-horizon","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-11-24 02:09:03","post_modified_gmt":"2023-11-23 15:09:03","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=14483","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":12091,"post_author":"18","post_date":"2023-06-19 06:43:13","post_date_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:13","post_content":"\n

    European Central Bank (ECB) key decision-makers have resolved to raise interest rates again in the upcoming month. Although there is a divergence of views regarding future monetary policies, the persistently high levels of underlying inflation have prompted policymakers to consider further rate increases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Let's dive deeper to understand the need to hike interest rates and examine the reasons for ECB's recent decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    As we know, interest rate hikes are vital for central banks to manage economic conditions, control inflation, and maintain financial stability. When the economy is multiplying, or inflation rates are rising, central banks often raise interest rates to moderate economic activity and curb inflationary pressures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Let's look at the key reasons why the ECB is considering raising interest rates again in July:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Keep a check on high inflation:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Despite minimal economic growth, underlying inflation in the Eurozone has remained stubbornly high. Policymakers are concerned about the sustained upward pressure on prices, notably when excluding volatile energy and food prices. With underlying inflation at 5.3% in May, a substantial drop is necessary to avoid further rate hikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Stabilizing prices across the board:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The ECB's primary mandate is maintaining price stability within the Eurozone. The central bank aims to control inflationary pressures by raising interest rates and preventing prices from rising excessively. This approach ensures that the euro's purchasing power remains stable and fosters sustainable economic growth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Addressing market concerns:<\/strong> <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Markets have already priced in one more rate hike, anticipating further tightening. If the ECB fails to follow through with additional rate increases, it could create uncertainty and potentially undermine market confidence. Policymakers must balance market expectations with the need to manage inflationary pressures effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Rate Hike Trends:<\/strong>
    Below is a graph that can assist us in analyzing past interest rate increases in the Eurozone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"Eurozone<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    We can observe that interest rates have recently experienced a rapid upward trajectory. The ECB's decision to raise rates to around 4.00%, the highest level in 23 years, demonstrates its commitment to combating inflationary pressures. The steady increase in interest rates reflects the urgency to address rising inflation and maintain price stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The historical interest rate gains highlight the urgency with which policymakers are responding to inflationary pressures. It will be interesting to see how the ECB balances taming inflation and supporting economic growth to ensure a stable and prosperous Eurozone economy.<\/p>\n","post_title":"Inflation Check: The European Central Bank All Set To Hike Interest Rates Yet Again","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"inflation-check-the-european-central-bank-all-set-to-hike-interest-rates-yet-again","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-06-19 06:43:20","post_modified_gmt":"2023-06-18 20:43:20","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=12091","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},{"ID":11491,"post_author":"14","post_date":"2023-05-04 21:53:10","post_date_gmt":"2023-05-04 11:53:10","post_content":"\n

    As widely expected, the U.S. Central Bank raised interest rates by 25bps this Wednesday. It signalled it could pause further increases, giving officials time to assess the fallout from recent bank failures, wait on the resolution of a political stand-off over the U.S. debt ceiling and monitor the course of inflation. The federal funds rate is now in a range of 5% to 5.25%, which is the highest level since 2006. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    The U.S. Central Bank warned that tighter credit conditions for households and businesses are expected to affect economic activity. In the picture below, we can see that even without this rise in interest rates, the federal funds rate was at the highest level since the 2007 financial crisis.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

    Many analysts and economists are worried that the high-interest rates will push the economy into a recession. It is important to mention that government data showed last week that economic growth in the first quarter slowed sequentially, with real gross domestic product increasing at a 1.1% annual pace, compared with a 2.6% gain in the prior three-month period. With higher interest rates, companies need to spend more money to borrow money to invest in growth. Historically, higher rates lead companies to reduce spending (especially on hiring). <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Many companies could face liquidity problems, and economist David Rosenberg has warned that the U.S. economy is facing two big risks. David Rosenberg said<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    \"We have a possible debt default on our hands and a spreading bank crisis. The banking turmoil that started with Silicon Valley Bank's collapse in March remains unresolved, and First Republic's failure and takeover by CEO Jamie Dimon's JPMorgan has reignited worries about broader financial instability. Moreover, political disagreement about raising the U.S. government's borrowing limit is fanning fears of a debt-ceiling crisis.\"<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    See Related: <\/em><\/strong>United States May Fund Its Deficit By Printing More Money; Could Default By June 1st<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Higher rates encourage saving over spending and make the debt more costly. Companies with bigger credit or other loans with variable interest rates could be in a difficult situation. We expect to see a meaningful slowdown in economic growth and a weakening of the labour market in the United States in the upcoming months. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

    At the same time, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, said<\/a> that the manufacturing and housing sectors are in a recession already. The famous investor Jeremy Grantham warned that the U.S. stock market could experience significant losses soon, and a recommendation is that investors should continue to take a defensive investment approach.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    Stocks aren't the only assets that could significantly lose their value. Investors should remember that cryptocurrencies could also be in the situation to make an even bigger fall. The crypto market displayed a high correlation with U.S. equities. If a downtrend is witnessed in the stock market, the same is usually replicated in the crypto-sphere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

    See Related:<\/em><\/strong> Bitcoin Is Close To Testing $30,000 Again; Ethereum Revives Bullish Momentum Above $1,800<\/a><\/p>\n","post_title":"The Fed Raises Interest Rates By 25 BPS This Wednesday; Effects On Crypto And Financial Markets","post_excerpt":"","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"the-fed-raises-interest-rates-by-25-bps-this-wednesday-effects-on-crypto-and-financial-markets","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2023-05-04 22:08:47","post_modified_gmt":"2023-05-04 12:08:47","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.thedistributed.co\/?p=11491","menu_order":0,"post_type":"post","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"}],"next":false,"total_page":false},"paged":1,"class":"jblog_block_13"};

    Most Read

    Subscribe To Our Newsletter

    By subscribing, you agree with our privacy and terms.

    Follow The Distributed

    ADVERTISEMENT
    \n